London―British Prime Minister Theresa May faces a fight for her political life this week in a parliamentary vote that will decide the fate of her Brexit divorce deal.
The beleaguered leader’s splintered government appears to be facing a heavy defeat in parliament on Tuesday on the draft withdrawal agreement she signed with Brussels last month.
The text defining the terms on which the island nation leaves its main trading partner after 46 years is the most important to face the House of Commons in years.
A big loss could spark immediate challenges to May from both within her Conservative Party and the opposition Labor party.
It would also leave the tortuous Brexit process in a state of flux—and raise the prospects of a no-deal scenario—less than four months before the March 29 departure date.
Media reports said May was under pressure from her cabinet to try to salvage the deal by delaying the vote and flying to Brussels to seek more concessions ahead of a planned summit with 27 fellow EU leaders on Thursday and Friday.
But Brexit Secretary Stephen Barclay told the BBC on Sunday: “The vote is going ahead.”
May’s team insists that her vision offers the cleanest break between the UK and EU that Brexit supporters could hope for at this late stage.
A rejection by parliament “would mean grave uncertainty for the nation with a very real risk of no Brexit,” May told the Mail on Sunday.
She also raised the specter of an early election and a possible return to power of the opposition Labor Party for the first time since 2010.
May said the prospects of Labor leader “Jeremy Corbyn getting his hands on power is a risk we cannot afford to take.”
Newspapers have identified more than six current and former ministers in May’s cabinet who are also ready to run for her job should she falter over the coming days.
EU supporters, meanwhile, are pinning their hopes on a European Court of Justice ruling on Monday on whether Britain’s parliament has the right to unilaterally halt Brexit in its tracks.
May would have a tough job securing better divorce terms acceptable to the Northern Irish DUP party that has propped up her government for more than a year.
EU President Donald Tusk signaled that no concessions would be made after speaking to May by phone on Sunday.
Yet Brussels also wants to see May succeed and avert the economic nightmare that could unfold should Britain break away without any arrangements underpinning future trade.
European officials said they might be able to find a way to offer a token concession in Brussels that May could take back to London.
But they stressed that such tinkering cannot alter the basis of the withdrawal agreement itself.
The two sides might “work on the [accompanying] protocol or clarify a point that is deemed important so that she can take it back to parliament,” an informed European source told AFP on condition on anonymity.
May would then be expected to submit the touched-up version for a second vote at an unspecified date.