Editorial
China?s cue
China, the world?s third largest economy, will likely recover from a slump later this year. This is a positive signal that could ripple across the rest of Asia.
The World Bank?s assessment of China?s possible economic recovery this year is the latest among the slew of encouraging reports that suggest the global recession has bottomed out. Latest trade data from China bolster the Bank?s report.
?A ray of hope may be emerging with signs of China?s economy bottoming out by mid-2009,? the Bank said in a statement last week. ?A recovery in China?fueled largely by the country?s huge economic stimulus package?is likely to begin this year and take full hold in 2010, potentially contributing to the region?s stabilization, and perhaps recovery.?
China?s trade performance in March swiftly supported this contention. China?s exports dropped 17 percent year-on-year in March, much slower than the record 26-percent fall in February.
China?s economic health is key to Asian countries, including the Philippines, which supply basic materials and components for industries. An improvement in China?s economy will serve as gauge on the ability of the rest of Asia to come out from recession.
The World Bank sees China?s economy expanding by 6.5 percent this year, slower than 9 percent last year. In stark comparison, most major and emerging economies are seen to contract in 2009.
Chinese officials say their $586-billion stimulus plan to pump money into the economy through higher public works spending in order to boost domestic consumption has begun to show results.
The Philippines? own P330-billion stimulus package, meanwhile, must work to stem the tide of recession that has gripped its neighbors in Asia. Philippine authorities can no longer afford delays in public spending on infrastructure and social welfare projects designed to revive the economy and pick up the slack in consumer spending.
Slowing dollar remittances and reduced employment opportunities will eventually catch up with the whole Philippine economy, unless the growth stimulus package is timely implemented and wisely spent.
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Early on the first day of the week |